Risk Transfer Mechanism On Asset Management Related To Natural Disasters And Climate Changes
Acep Hadinata
Senin, 18 Desember 2017 pukul 18:37:52 |
2076 kali
Background
According to the Government Financial
Statements (audited), State Asset value per December 31, 2016 is Rp2,188,359,011,696,645,00. State assets are spread from
the western part of Indonesia, Sabang Island, to the eastern part of Indonesia, Merauke.
Maintaining a great number of assets is not an easy issue.
State Fixed Assets are generally intended to be used for public services.
However, in certain circumstances, there
are several causes which make the state assets not able to be used
properly or become prematurely obsolete. One of them is natural disaster. Indonesia
is located on the confluence of three major tectonic plates, the Indo-Australian,
Eurasian and Pacific plates which are prone to collisions that can
lead to earthquakes. Most of Indonesia areas are located in the path of The
Pacific Ring of Fire, a series of lines of active volcanoes in the world.
An alternative solution to address the risk
of failed assets caused by natural disasters is using the risk
transfer mechanism. In general principle, the risk transfer mechanism can
be implemented in all public assets. However, considering the limited national budget,
the government needs to prioritize which assets to be secured.
The top priority is obviously for public assets in
disaster-prone areas.
Recently, the central government have
started to secure its fixed assets by using insurance. Mitigation and
disaster risk transfer mechanism becomes important due to the increase
of natural disasters in Indonesia which may lead to a fiscal shock in the
national budget. The data shows that in the period of January
until November 2017, the National Disaster Mitigation
Agency noted there were 1,911 incidents of natural disaster that occurred
in Indonesia, 611 of which were flooding.
Public Asset Management
According to the Government Regulation
number 27/2014 about State/Local Government Asset Management, the responsibility
for managing the assets is clearly stipulated. Related to this regulation, it
can be defined that State Assets are all assets purchased or obtained at the
state budget or other legitimate acquisition’s expense. Meanwhile, the Local
Government Assets are all assets purchased of the local government budget or
other legitimate acquisitions’ expense. The assets which then become the
property of the state or local government are based on the funds
spent on them.
Canada Transportation Association defines
asset management as "a strategy employing a comprehensive business people,
information and technology to effectively and efficiently allocate available
funds amongst competing asset valued and needs."
Another definition of assets under management
of Danylo, NH and A. Lemer is “a methodology to efficiently andequitably
allocate resources amongst valid and competing goals and objectives".
Kaganova and McKellar define asset management as "Property asset
management that can be defined as the process of decision making and
implementation related to the acquisition, use, and disposal of real property."
Although asset management can be presented
according to the types of asset or concentration of activities, the writer
agrees with some experts about the definitions of asset management. By stating
there is no exact definition of asset management, the definition is still not
definite. Nevertheless, the writer can conclude that asset management process
is a process starting from planning to disposal of asset which is used by an
organization or line ministries/agencies.
According to the Government Financial Statements,
State Asset value per December 31, 2016 amounting to Rp 2,188,359,011,696,645 million
consists of inventories, fixed assets and other assets.
|
Table 1 Balance sheet summary state asset per December 31,
2016 and 2015 |
||
|
Items |
December 31, 2016 (Audited) |
December 31, 2015 (Audited) |
|
Current Assets –
Inventory |
82,741,676,093,041 |
102,121,075,003,074 |
|
Fixed Assets (FA) |
2,478,779,915,339,960 |
2,324,717,566,836,980 |
|
Accumulated
Depreciation of FA |
(556,258,309,853,792) |
(471,746,623,643,713) |
|
Other Assets (OA) |
209,075,659,985,916 |
195,486,385,002 |
|
Accumulated
Depreciation of OA |
(33,680,107,351,307) |
(23,129,332,371,061) |
|
TOTAL |
2,188,359,011,696,645 |
2,127,449,070,827,833 |
As an illustration, the amount of State
Assets in the province of Aceh on December 31, 2012 (DG SAM Aceh Regional Office
Report) was Rp. 34,614,700,302,096. 92.49% or Rp. 32,013,695,105,168.00 of which
are Fixed Assets including Land, Buildings, Equipment and Machineries, and
Roads Water Irrigation and Network. If a big earthquake occurred in Aceh in that
period, the maximum loss that would occur was Rp. 3,919,552,724,701.00 (considering
the loss in damaged buildings only), it means that 11% of total assets of the
State Assets are located in the province of Aceh. This is just a simple
calculation if earthquake occurred in the province of Aceh. However, the state
government has not implemented the risk transfer mechanism in
their asset management yet.
Natural Disaster and Climate Change
Underjoint State-Australian Government
Natural Disaster Relief and Recovery Arrangements (NDRAA), a natural disaster
is defined as a serious disruption to a community or region caused by the
impact of a naturally occurring rapid on set event that threatens or causes
death, injury or damage to property or the environment and which requires
significant and coordinated multi-agency and community response.
The definitions of climate change in
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) usage refer to a change in the
state of the climate that can be identified (e.g. using statistical tests) by
changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties and that persists
for an extended period, typically decades or longer. It refers to any change in
climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human
activity. This usage differs from that in the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), where climate change refers to a change
of climate that is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that
alters the composition of the global atmosphere and that is in addition to
natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods.
The Geographic location of Indonesia which
is on the pacific ring of fire in the Southeast Asia region aggravates the
climate change conditions. The state assets which are located in disaster-prone
and climate change-affected areas (continuous rains that causes flooding or
continuous heat that causes forest fires) will certainly decline in its
function more quickly or it becomes obsolete.
Over the past decade, several researches
on the impact of natural disasters or climate changes on humans or communities
were conducted, but only a few examined the impact on state assets. Government
policies tended to be reactive instead of proactive. The government has not been
able to mitigate the risk of asset management in disaster-prone areas as well
as in climate change-affected areas.
Potential
losses due to the asset management arising from natural disasters will result
in a significant economic impact. Tsunami in Aceh and Earthquake in Yogyakarta
and West Sumatra that occurred a few years ago estimated left the following
losses:
|
Table 2. EstimatedLosses Caused by
Disasters in Indonesia |
||||
|
No |
Disasters |
Provincial |
Estimated Losses (US$ Billion) |
Estimated Losses (% of GDP) |
|
1 |
Tsunami (2004) |
Aceh |
4.5 |
54% |
|
2 |
Earthquake (2006) |
Yogyakarta |
3.1 |
41% |
|
3 |
Earthquake (2009) |
West Sumatera |
2.3 |
30% |
Source: GFDRR (2012)
On climate change, sometimes its impacts
are felt in short term (annual flood period) and in long term (5-year flood
cycle). At the moment, the impacts of climate change will fall at the same
time. For example, the 5-year flood cycle that occurred in the capital city of
Indonesia, Jakarta. Previously, major floods happened every 5 year, namely in
1997, 2002, and 2007. Because of the climate change, the cycle of major floods
changed. The major floods that were expected to hit Jakarta in 2012 didn't
occur. In facts it struck the city in 2013 and 2014. This flood caused
devastating impacts and disrupted economic condition in Jakarta. In January
2014 the floods didn't only hit Jakarta, but also its satellite cities, such as
Tangerang, Depok, Bogor and Bekasi in West Java
The following are the estimated losses
caused by the major floods occurring in 2007 taken from the National Planning
and Development Agency:
|
Table 3. Estimation Losses Caused by
Jakarta Great Flood 2007 |
|||||||
|
No |
Sector/Subsector |
Amount (bilion rupiah) |
|||||
|
Estimated Damage |
% |
Estimated Losses |
% |
Total |
% |
||
|
1 |
Housing |
1,298.92 |
73.56 |
|
0.00 |
1,298.92 |
25.05 |
|
2 |
Infrastructure |
327.97 |
18.57 |
525.84 |
15.30 |
853.81 |
16.47 |
|
3 |
Social |
44.03 |
2.49 |
4.90 |
0.14 |
48.76 |
0.94 |
|
4 |
Economy |
28.12 |
1.59 |
2,867.36 |
83.87 |
2,895.48 |
55.85 |
|
5 |
Cross Sectoral |
66 |
3.79 |
2.3 |
0.60 |
87.45 |
1.69 |
|
Total |
1,763.89 |
34.06 |
3,418.70 |
65.94 |
5,184.43 |
100 |
|
Source: National Planning and Development Agency (2007)
From the beginning of the year of 2017
until December 4, 2017, the National Disaster Mitigation Agency recorded that
2,175 natural disasters occurred in Indonesia which included floods (737),
tornadoes (651), landslides (577), forest and land fires (96), floods and
landslides (67), drought (19) earthquakes (18), abrasion (8), and volcanic
eruptions (2). It can be concluded that natural disasters in Indonesia increase
from year to year.
It was recorded that 335 people died, 969
people got injured, and 3.22 million people were displaced and suffered in the
disaster. 31,746 houses were damaged and 347,813 thousands of health, education
and worship facilities were submerged and damaged (BNPB 2017).
Transfer Risk Mechanism
In recent years, the frequency of
disasters in Indonesia is quite high, the risk of assets management in
disaster-prone areas and climate change-affected areas is also high. Therefore,
a special effort is needed to address these risks, it is known as risk
mitigation. There are quite a lot of definitions of risk. Djohanputro (2008,
32) defines risk as uncertainties whose probabilities of events can be
measured, or uncertainties which can quantified the losses. According to
Djohanputro (2008, 33) the comparison between the risks and uncertainties is
described in the table below.
|
Table 4 Comparison between risk and uncertainty |
|
|
Risk |
Uncertainty |
|
Subjects had a size quantity |
Subjects has no measure of the quantity |
|
Known level of probability of events |
cannot be known level of probability of events |
|
There are data supporting the possibility of occurrence |
No supporting data on the possible occurrence |
Source: Corporate Risk Management (2008)
According to Fahmi (2010),several
alternative risk managements are as follows:
Conclusion
A suitable risk transfer
approach in managing the assets related to assets which are located in disaster-prone
areas and assets affected by climate changes is by using insurance. This risk
transfer is categorized as fiscal transfers risk on asset management. To
prepare the right strategy in determining the risk transfer mechanism (for
comprehensive study of how the premium to be paid, what kind of assets that
need to be insured and how the methods of insurance are applied), in-depth
research and comprehensive mitigation involving the National Development
Planning Agency, National Agency for Disaster Management, Fiscal Policy Office
MoF and other related parties are needed.
The risk transfer
is important, but appropriate assets to be covered by the insurer and the
insurance company involved are also important.
Written by Acep Hadinata
Deputy Director of Legal and Public Relation, DG SAM
References
Republic of Indonesia. (2007). Act No. 24 of 2007, Disaster Management
________.(2006). Government Regulation No. 27 Year 2014, State/Local
Government Asset Management.
________.(2013). Central Government Financial Report, year ended
December 31, 2016.
________.(2012). State Asset Report, DG SAM
Aceh Regional Office year ended December 31, 2012.
Cummin J David and Mahul Olivier (2009). Catastrophe Risk Financing
in Developing Countries. Principles for Public Intervention. The Word Bank,
Washington DC.
Paul A. Raschky.(2013). Estimating the Effects of West Sumatra
Public Asset Insurance Program on Short-Term Recovery After The September 2009
Earthquake. ERIA Discussion Paper Series, 2013.
Hadinata, Acep (2011).Handbook, Management Asset, Finance
Diploma Program Specialization in Handling State Receivables and Auction.
Jakarta:State College of Accountancy.
Jauri, Ahmad. (2013). Using Insurance Services for State Asset
In The Disaster Prone Areas. Jakarta, thesis Diploma Program in
Accounting,State College of Accountancy.
Djohanputro,Bramantyo. (2008). Corporate Risk Management.
Jakarta: PPM.
Fahmi, Irham. (2010). Risk Management: Theory, Cases, andSolutions.
Jakarta: Publisher Alfabeta.
The world Bank East Asia Pacific and South Asia Region (2008). A Workshop
on Disaster Risk Reduction and Risk Transfer: Toward Concrete Actionin South
Asia and East Asia and Pacific.
Deloitte AccessEconomics. (2013). Building Our Nation’s
Resilienceto Natural Disaster. Australian Bussines Roundatable for
Disaster Resilience and Safer Communities.
Michael K. Lindell.(____). Recovery and Reconstruction After Disaster. Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.
http://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0016/413026/Policy-O-103-natural-disaster-reporting-and-declaration.pdf
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/mains1.html
http://understandinsurance.com.au/when-should-you-purchase-insurance
http://hpm.fk.ugm.ac.id/hpmlama/images/Manajemen_Bencana_2011/sesi_5_bd_manajemen_bencana_aspek_governance.pdf
| Disclaimer |
|---|
| Tulisan ini adalah pendapat pribadi dan tidak mencerminkan kebijakan institusi di mana penulis bekerja. |